Venom: Let There Be Carnage is the latest upcoming movie to suffer from a release date delay, and it isn't out of the question that the MCU's Spider-Man 3 will follow suit. The coronavirus pandemic has put the world, Hollywood included, into a state of disarray. As a result, movie studios are pushing back the bulk of their movies to later in the year, if not to 2021. Sony movies are no exception, and the studio has announced that the sequel to 2018's Venom will be put off for an extra eight months. Because of this, it's possible that Spider-Man 3 could be postponed as well.
Over the past few months, studios have been left with no other choice but to put most of their films on hold. Marvel Studios shuffled almost its entire Phase 4 lineup and the DCEU's blockbusters stopped development for the time being. Sony ultimately decided to push almost all of their movies to 2021, with the exception of Venom 2 (now officially titled Venom: Let There Be Carnage), which was still scheduled to release in October. Venom: Let There Be Carnage will now release on June 25, 2021 - the date originally held by WB's The Batman, which itself was moved to October 2021. While it's good that Venom's sequel now has a new slate, it creates a problem for Spider-Man 3.
Tom Holland's Spider-Man 3 hasn't been delayed yet and is still scheduled to release on July 16, 2021. This date puts only three weeks between it and the Venom sequel, possibly complicating box office returns for both. Studios are losing a lot of money as it is, so Sony would be wise to make up for lost time where they can. It would make sense for Sony to push Spider-Man 3 out, as clustering releases would do neither franchise any good in the long run - especially with Morbius preceding both in March, fan fatigue with Spider-Man-related movies is a real possibility.
The next logical question is where could Spider-Man 3 fit into the Marvel release schedule? Given the world situation, things are subject to change, but there are currently a handful of opportunities for it to hit the big screen. Moving past summer 2021 presents spots with little to no serious competition, beginning in September 2021. It isn't the big summer opening as planned, but there are no major franchise releases set for that month. Peter Parker could easily do well at the box office and it is the earliest possible time to do so.
Beyond then, Spider-Man 3 is looking at a 2022 release if Sony wants to maintain steady box office returns and not conflict with releases. January and March are open for the most part, but it's doubtful that Sony would want to release a big movie like Spider-Man 3 in January and March would present a problem with another Spider-Man film; Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse 2 is set to open on April 8, 2022, a conflict Sony would be smart to avoid. There are more options as 2022 rolls on, but it is unlikely they would want to sit on this film for too long. Given Spider-Man: Far From Home's cliffhanger ending, they have to strike while the iron is hot, carefully calculating the best release date they can.
The issue with moving Spider-Man 3 versus other films is that it's a product of two studios: Sony Pictures and Marvel Studios. So Sony needs to coordinate with Disney and Marvel to see what works best for everyone. This may not be resolved right away, but given that Sony has other movies for Holland to do, such as Uncharted, pushing the Far From Home sequel to at least 2022 may be the only move they have. Venom: Let Their Be Carnage hung onto its October premiere as long as it could, but accommodations needed to be made for the health and safety of everyone. The MCU's Spider-Man 3 likely will suffer the same fate, if not for the pandemic than for the performance of both films.
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